Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.022030 0.023655 0.025346 0.027239 0.029302 0.031485 0.033971
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.019347 0.021689 0.024254 0.027280 0.030763 0.034659 0.039366
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.017305 0.020024 0.023117 0.026912 0.031467 0.036787 0.043516
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015686 0.018611 0.022039 0.026380 0.031770 0.038294 0.046868
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014530 0.017611 0.021315 0.026133 0.032295 0.039992 0.050455
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013562 0.016745 0.020656 0.025868 0.032711 0.041499 0.053820
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012604 0.015813 0.019834 0.025305 0.032655 0.042331 0.056277
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.012100 0.015420 0.019659 0.025548 0.033642 0.044567 0.060757
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011545 0.014920 0.019303 0.025507 0.034213 0.046235 0.064513
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011174 0.014638 0.019211 0.025803 0.035246 0.048582 0.069384
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010648 0.014115 0.018759 0.025561 0.035482 0.049777 0.072592
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010214 0.013693 0.018419 0.025448 0.035883 0.051213 0.076237
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009727 0.013180 0.017932 0.025102 0.035926 0.052125 0.079148
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009400 0.012877 0.017724 0.025151 0.036557 0.053964 0.083667
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008983 0.012425 0.017280 0.024820 0.036578 0.054838 0.086644
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008553 0.011934 0.016757 0.024337 0.036329 0.055255 0.088859
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008226 0.011579 0.016415 0.024112 0.036468 0.056293 0.092196
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007915 0.011236 0.016076 0.023872 0.036560 0.057249 0.095440
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007553 0.010802 0.015581 0.023359 0.036177 0.057375 0.097186
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007400 0.010677 0.015549 0.023580 0.037013 0.059612 0.102945
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007192 0.010459 0.015364 0.023543 0.037407 0.061099 0.107402
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007068 0.010365 0.015369 0.023812 0.038333 0.063568 0.113915
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006838 0.010097 0.015087 0.023592 0.038396 0.064488 0.117462